Mexico Heavy-Duty Vehicle Sales Fall 9.9% in July 2026

Mexico Heavy-Duty Vehicle Retail Market Declines in July

Mexico’s new heavy-duty vehicle retail market weakened in July 2026, with Mexican Automotive Dealers Association (AMDA) reporting sales of 3,043 units, down 9.9% year over year and marking the sixth annual contraction recorded so far this year. Cargo vehicle sales declined 6.9%, while passenger vehicle sales dropped 22.1%. In contrast, truck tractors increased 5.1% and intercity buses rose 30.0%, showing that demand performance varied significantly across heavy-duty vehicle segments during the month.

Diesel Vehicles Retain Market Dominance as Electrified Sales Rise

From January through July 2026, diesel-powered vehicles continued to dominate the Mexico heavy-duty market, accounting for 97.6% of sales despite a 21.3% year-over-year decline in diesel vehicle volumes. At the same time, alternative powertrains recorded rapid growth. Hybrid heavy-duty vehicle sales increased 229.5%, while electric heavy-duty vehicle sales climbed 277.8%. Although their overall market contribution remains much smaller than diesel, the sharp increases indicate accelerating adoption of lower-emission technologies within Mexico’s commercial vehicle market.

AMDA Cuts 2026 Retail Sales Forecast

Cumulative retail sales reached 19,115 heavy-duty vehicles during the first seven months of 2026, representing a 20.1% decline from the same period of 2025. Reflecting the weaker market performance, AMDA reduced its full-year 2026 sales forecast to 37,519 units, excluding intercity buses sold directly by OEMs. The revised forecast represents an expected annual decline of 2.1%, highlighting the association’s more cautious outlook for the remainder of the year as the retail market continues to face weaker demand.

Wholesale Sales Show Stronger Performance

Wholesale activity presented a contrasting picture in July. According to ANPACT, the Mexican Association of Automotive Manufacturers, wholesale sales reached 2,590 units, an increase of 19.1% year over year. Cumulative wholesale sales from January to July also rose 5.1% to 17,566 units. The divergence between declining retail volumes reported by AMDA and stronger wholesale performance reported by ANPACT suggests different dynamics between deliveries to the market and final customer demand, making both indicators important for assessing the trajectory of Mexico’s heavy-duty vehicle industry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What happened in Mexico’s heavy-duty vehicle market during the first seven months of 2026?
Mexico’s heavy-duty vehicle market showed a mixed performance in the first seven months of 2026. Retail sales fell 20.1% year over year to 19,115 units through July, while diesel vehicles retained a 97.6% market share despite a 21.3% decline. Hybrid and electric heavy-duty vehicles grew sharply, increasing 229.5% and 277.8%, respectively. The contrasting trends indicate that conventional diesel vehicles still dominate demand, but alternative powertrains are expanding quickly from a smaller base. The July retail decline also prompted AMDA to lower its full-year forecast.

What is AMDA’s revised 2026 heavy-duty vehicle sales forecast?
AMDA expects 2026 retail sales to reach 37,519 heavy-duty vehicles, excluding intercity buses sold directly by OEMs, after revising its forecast downward. The estimate represents an expected annual decline of 2.1%. The revision reflects weaker retail performance during the year, with January–July sales down 20.1% from the same period in 2025. However, wholesale sales have been stronger, with ANPACT reporting a 19.1% year-over-year increase in July and a 5.1% rise for the first seven months. This divergence highlights different market dynamics across retail and wholesale channels.